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ecrabb Forum Moderator
Joined: 13 Mar 2006 Posts: 15909 Location: Utah
TV/Projector: JVC RS40, Epson 5010
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| Posted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 11:08 pm Post subject: |
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Greg/Schmoe/Rod... Wan actually has a valid point, here. Read up on "net neutrality" if you don't believe some ISPs are absolutely trying to figure out how to monetize certain kinds of traffic in order to maximize profit from from their networks.
The idea that Netflix wouldn't roll out a service if they hadn't investigated the viability is fine, but it kind of misses the point. For one thing, it only holds true at a specific point in time. 2 or 3 years ago when Netflix started building their on-demand service, I doubt anybody was even doing in DPI yet. So, even if Netflix did their due diligence, that was then and this is now! Things have changed! Just as you found out Greg, your ISP now does deep packet inspection so they can tell when you're running P2P. If you are, they trash your QoS in order to guarantee QoS for their other customers (and in order to reduce their cost liability to their NAP (or backbone provider). This really sucks because there actually legitimate applications for Torrent, for instance. What makes you think bandwidth caps couldn't be next?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Network_neutrality
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_packet_inspection
Now, I don't know if anybody is filtering or bandwidth capping for streaming video yet, but don't think it couldn't happen.
You have to think about who's who, here. Netflix is a direct competitor and competes head-to-head with Comcast's and other broadband providers' on-demand video services. What incentive does Comcast or other ISP's have to allow that service if it's a competing service?
SC
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schmoe
Joined: 30 Mar 2008 Posts: 374 Location: Seattle, WA
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| Posted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 11:23 pm Post subject: |
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I think we could debate all day speculating on what may happen in the future. I was simply commenting on the way things are today. It's simply not an issue as of right now. If you decide not to embrace a technology for fear of what may happen six months to a year from now or greater, you are totally free to make that choice.
I absolutely agree that ISPs will try to be as greedy as they can. Personally I believe they won't get very far, but that is a completely separate debate.
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Angus_rg
Joined: 16 Dec 2007 Posts: 339 Location: A planet far, far away..... Baltimore, MD
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| Posted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 11:31 pm Post subject: Re: Microsoft or Apple (or Sony) for movie streaming? |
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| WanMan wrote: | | So, who is doing a better job at offering full-length movies (and at full resolution) streaming service? Is it Apple (do not know what they call their service), Microsoft's partner Netflix, or is Sony's thingy do better? |
Dunno what you think of the whole stereo netflix(I'd rather watch a SD DVD with DTS than a stereo HD stream), but engaget had a nice write up of the options:
http://www.engadget.com/2009/01/19/do-not-time-netflix-hd-streaming-shootout/
_________________ It's good to be the king.
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ecrabb Forum Moderator
Joined: 13 Mar 2006 Posts: 15909 Location: Utah
TV/Projector: JVC RS40, Epson 5010
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| Posted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 11:41 pm Post subject: |
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Schmoe... True. You're absolutely right. I think Wan was just pointing out that what is available today, may not be available or may cost more tomorrow. I sure wouldn't spend $800-900 for the high-end Vudu box right now... especially given that it does nothing else.
I would also point out that for people like me with a crummy 1.5mbps DSL line, ALL these services range from questionable value (waiting hours to download a movie to the Apple TV or to a Vudu, to completely worthless for the Netflix offering. The audio being stereo is a non-starter for me, and the picture quality at 1.5mbps is just total crap. I'd put it not far off VHS... and with some digital motion artifacting on top of that. It looked just "OK" on my 21" monitor - I can't even imagine how sh*tty it would look on a projector.
Yes, I need a faster connection, but I hate the cable company here (and it would cost me $20 more/mo, and Qwest is taking their sweet damn time rolling out their 10mbps service... So, for now I'm stuck at 1.5... Unfortunately.
That's an interesting article, Angus... I especially liked the last line: "The rest of us will be happily watching Netflix's collection of 80s movies."
I agree, too - I'd rather watch SD w/great surround than an HD pic with crummy compressed stereo... Which, again - is why Netflix mailed BD's is a perfectly fine solution for us at this point.
SC
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WanMan
Joined: 19 Mar 2006 Posts: 10270
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| Posted: Mon Feb 09, 2009 12:28 am Post subject: |
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| schmoe wrote: | | WanMan wrote: | | And I do not think companies like Netflix cares one bit about the netowrk throttling or caps ISPs are applying as its not a reflection on them and they simply tell the customers its their ISP (and correctly so). |
This can't be true, especially when we're talking about the one or two companies that provide a huge chunk of Internet service to the US. Why would Netflix and other companies build such a feature if the right infrastructure and ISP policies weren't in place to allow it to succeed? Sure, if a couple small ISPs were excluded then I suppose companies like Netflix might make the argument that it still makes sense to build the feature, but we're talking about the big guys like Comcast and ATT. The economics of the situation wouldn't make sense.
I don't disagree that throttling controls exist and that they kind of suck for the consumer, but it must be the case that these streaming and movie download services are taken into consideration when companies like Comcast try to figure out what a reasonable cap is.
FWIW, I was part of the Beta effort for the Netflix integration in XBox 360 and I never felt the affects of throttling, nor did anyone else in the beta test newsgroup complain that throttling was getting in their way of streaming movies. And XBox Live movie downloads (multi-gigabyte files in HD) has been around for serveral years and I've never heard of a complaint around throttling. |
Obviously I must be lying.
During the past couple of years the core packet switching networks within Verizon, AT&T (ahem, BellSouth and SBC), Comcast, etc. have been going through a tremendous core growth condition and all of it against the wills of the old farts running the show. The days where T1 facilities were King and POTS the only true life blood are gone.
Try this as an experiment. How big would the pipe would be needed through, say, level 3 for a city the size of Atlanta in order for ONLY half of the AT&T ADSL customers to use, say, 3Mbps? Come on, now, no over subscription would put it at:
3,000,000 bps X 350,000 = 3,000,000,000 X 350 = 10.5 Gigabits per second. Now, at the interface TO level 3 that actually could be arranged, in pairs, using 10GigE trunks. But let's get closer to your lousy ADSL.
Let's take a fully spanned Alcatel 7300 ISAM with, say, 1,000 subscribers on it all try, at once, to use half of their 6Mbps service for Netflix:
3,000,000 X 1,000 = 2 Tbps would be needed. Oh, wait, they cannot do that on a Alcatel 7300 ISAM (DSLAM). The best trunk in AT&T network for the 7300 is a DS3 (45Mbps). Even the new Ethernet 7330 ISAM is only using a 1GigE.
And on the ATM cores that support the 7300 spanned units they come into aggregation devices where you can have six fully spanned 7300 DSLAMs plsu a lot of high-density remote units piling onto a single OC3 (155 Mbps. Want to know how many ADSL lines come through that OC3 pipe? 3400. You do the math.
Ignorantly blissful. If they didn't oversubscribe they wouldn't have a need to place caps on their networks.
_________________ Trust no one. Absolutely no one. Advice of the board.
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WanMan
Joined: 19 Mar 2006 Posts: 10270
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| Posted: Mon Feb 09, 2009 12:33 am Post subject: |
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| schmoe wrote: | I think we could debate all day speculating on what may happen in the future. I was simply commenting on the way things are today. It's simply not an issue as of right now. If you decide not to embrace a technology for fear of what may happen six months to a year from now or greater, you are totally free to make that choice.
I absolutely agree that ISPs will try to be as greedy as they can. Personally I believe they won't get very far, but that is a completely separate debate. |
You have no clue as to the network buildout that has been taking place to play catchup on the demand. Rule of thumb was to never consume more than 50% of a trunk's bandwidth just in case the trunk or its load-balanced sister never failed. That 'was' the rule of thumb.
The advent of YouTube and other streaming video has demolished that rule. BTW, online gaming actually doesn't present a problem in terms of bandwidth needs. And while parallel peering has helped to reduce latency under loading, its of little benefit when you add bandwidth volume on top of the number of flowcache conversations traversing a trunk and an AS.
_________________ Trust no one. Absolutely no one. Advice of the board.
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schmoe
Joined: 30 Mar 2008 Posts: 374 Location: Seattle, WA
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| Posted: Mon Feb 09, 2009 1:24 am Post subject: |
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| WanMan wrote: | Obviously I must be lying. |
I didn't meant to imply you were lying. I think perhaps we misunderstand each other.
I have no idea what's happening on the ISP side, and I don't claim to. That is clearly your domain. All I'll say here is it seems reasonable to assume that demand on the network is going to get greater over time as more people get online and more services are offered that require a certain QoS. That's just the nature of the game.
All I was trying to say is that from a business model perspective, I don't think NetFlix would have pursued the streaming stuff if they knew that the majority of Internet users wouldn't be able to take advantage of it. I'm sure they know it's just not going to work well for some percentage of potential customers, but obviously it must work well enough for enough people to make the venture worthwhile (that's where the "this can't be true" statement came from). Keep in mind that the decision to enable this feature is not like flipping on a switch. There's a lot of investment in servers, edge caching, etc. on NetFlix' part to make this happen. So I'm sure the question of quality experience played some role in their decision making process.
We could ask the question: Did NetFlix get it wrong? Did it build a service that the net can't handle (for whatever reason, caps, bandwidth, etc.)? Here I can only point to anecdotal evidence and say that my experience has been good, and as far as download caps are concerned, which is where this conversation originally started, I haven't hit it AFAIK, even after watching a whole season of Heroes in HD (24 episodes!) over the course of a weekend (yes, I was a bit of a couch potato that weekend). And that seems consistent with others I have talked to that use the service. If you have any data that points to NetFlix' streaming service failing in a big way, I'd really love to see it. It could be my good experience is the exception to the rule. Such is the nature of anecdotal evidence.
Anyhoo, I really think that we're mostly on the same page. Not trying to escalate things. Mainly I just wanted to let you know I wasn't trying to make you out as a lier. I'm done with this topic.
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greg_mitch
Joined: 03 May 2006 Posts: 5320
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| Posted: Mon Feb 09, 2009 3:35 am Post subject: |
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Yes I agree again. No one is calling Wan a liar here. He threw out enough terms over my head in the last post that I would trust his opinion.
My point was only that Netflix had some discussions, deep discussions about the internet backbone being able to handle their streaming.
Here is another question, maybe for another thread. How do you feel about the internet as a regulated utility with set rates for transmission and government subsidized upgrades, etc. Does everyone have the right to be online?
Does it help our country to be better connected, like say Japan?
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ecrabb Forum Moderator
Joined: 13 Mar 2006 Posts: 15909 Location: Utah
TV/Projector: JVC RS40, Epson 5010
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| Posted: Tue Feb 10, 2009 5:29 am Post subject: |
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Well, this is interesting... I was doing some reading on the Vudu site. First of all, the cheaper box is only $150, now. So, that's cool, even though it still just does one thing - at least it's a little more reasonable. This little nugget in the FAQs sure caught my attention, though:
| Quote: | Does VUDU Use Peer-to-peer Distribution?
Yes, VUDU distributes content in part using an encrypted and efficient peer-based network. This network enables VUDU to provide its users with high performance and reliability regardless of demand. When you watch a movie, the movies is downloaded from a number of different places including other VUDU boxes and VUDU’s servers as required. You may also notice that your VUDU box sometimes uses your Internet connection when you are not actively watching a movie. Each VUDU box on the Internet contributes small amounts of data from time to time to help others enjoy the VUDU service. It is important to note that VUDU’s peer-based network is not in any way related to or based on BitTorrent. It is used only for the secure distribution of VUDU movies, TV shows and related content. |
OK, so this little box burns your downstream AND your upstream bandwidth. Then, I read this:
| Quote: | I see a lot of activity on my network since installing my VUDU box. What is going on with my network?
The VUDU box needs a constant network connection to give you the latest choice of movies. When the box is idle, you will still see a little network activity on the box because it is downloading the latest catalog and software updates to bring you the latest in movie releases. |
So, then the thing sits and downloads (and uploads to others) chunks of dozens of movies so you can start watching them instantly.
Meh. I need a new internet connection for sure, but even then I'm just not sure about this whole movie streaming/downloading thing. I think Blu-ray will serve me just fine for the foreseeable future.
SC
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schmoe
Joined: 30 Mar 2008 Posts: 374 Location: Seattle, WA
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| Posted: Tue Feb 10, 2009 6:34 am Post subject: |
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I agree. We on this forum have discerning tastes, otherwise we wouldn't be into fancy projectors and such. I'd prefer to have the highest quality audio and video possible.
The streaming stuff has its place. We use it for some TV shows where high quality isn't going to make a difference, and since we don't pay for one of those pound-me-in-the-a** cable TV subscriptions, it's a great alternative way to get content to your TV.
I personally wouldn't go for the peer-to-peer stuff though. I'll stick with the way XBox does Netflix.
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WanMan
Joined: 19 Mar 2006 Posts: 10270
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| Posted: Tue Feb 10, 2009 11:20 am Post subject: |
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SC, you need to move to Lafayette, LA. Their municipal fiber Internet service starts at 10Mbps symmetric with no caps or contracts for <$30/month naked. I think their 30Mbps symmetric is $57.95 per month.
_________________ Trust no one. Absolutely no one. Advice of the board.
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