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It's interesting as people get out of CRTs..
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Curt Palme
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Joined: 08 Mar 2006
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Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 5:34 pm    Post subject:

Sales at this point are about 1 a week or so. Compare that to 1 a day in 2001.
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Person99



Joined: 09 Mar 2006
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Location: Flower Mound, TX

Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 5:37 pm    Post subject:

km987654 wrote:
AnalogRocks wrote:
People are getting out of CRT's? Shocked


Thats like saying people are getting out of records. Guess what records are still here after nearly 30 years of CD.


You want to take a side bet here? I'll bet you that by 2013 the percentage of CRTs projectors (of the total of all projectors) in HTs will be a smaller percent than the small percentage record sales has of the total market (records, CDs, and online).

Records have only a small additional cost associated with them (the turntable). We have now hit the point that a new set of tubes costs the same as a comparably performing digital. Given that an RS2 outperforms a CRT in almost every respect, it is not hard to imagine that VERY few will retube instead of replace. That is currently. By 2010, a $4500 digital will outperform a CRT in every single aspect that matters in HT and the cost of a full set of new LC 9" tubes will be the same as it is today or more.

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draganm



Joined: 08 Mar 2006
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Location: Colorado

Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 6:01 pm    Post subject:

Person99 wrote:
Records have only a small additional cost associated with them (the turntable).
I can see you've never bought a nice turntable. Wink
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ecrabb
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Joined: 13 Mar 2006
Posts: 15909
Location: Utah

TV/Projector: JVC RS40, Epson 5010

Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 6:09 pm    Post subject:

I have to agree with you, Dave. The record comparison just isn't a good one. Why? Because cost isn't even the major issue. Turntables and CRT's can both be had relatively inexpensively, and the CRT's will continue to get cheaper. The problem is the records and turntables aren't much more inconvenient than CD's or CD players (if you take away the portability factor). CRT projectors? Fughgettaboudit. Think about the massive size and weight, fan noise, heat, and care and feeding. The tube cost is on top of all that.

There will be a point - and I think we're just 2-3 years away - when there will be really, really good, new digital projectors selling for under $2000 that surpass CRT in every way, save for absolute black and repairability. At that point, 8" EM machines will be like 7" ES machines now - not really worth the shipping - and you'll be able to buy a G90 or a comparable digital for similar money - as in, under $2000. One weighs 240 pounds, requires a hush box, and takes some engineering and half a day of work just to hang it on the ceiling. The other gets left on your porch by the UPS guy, weighs 20 pounds, is relatively quiet, needs no scaler, and takes all of half an hour to hang on the ceiling. You'll be able to afford/justify selling it and upgrading every couple of years just like a digital camera because it isn't a complete nightmare to move in and out of the house. Just box it up and ship it. There's also the whole scope thing, too.

Sorry, but it's pretty obvious where things have been and are going. It's just a matter of exactly how long it takes. I have no illusions about how little my G70 will be worth a year or two from now.

Will some people still have CRT projectors? Sure. Just not many, and it will be nothing like vinyl and turntables.

SC
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Ridebreck



Joined: 08 Mar 2006
Posts: 943
Location: Colorado Springs, CO

Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 6:14 pm    Post subject:

Curt, as for your driveway, it's usually not the cargo that you need to be concerned about. It's the piece of equipment that's unloading the cargo. You shouldn't have a problem though.
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kal
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Joined: 06 Mar 2006
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TV/Projector: JVC DLA-NZ7

Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 6:14 pm    Post subject:

ecrabb wrote:
Sorry, but it's pretty obvious where things have been and are going. It's just a matter of exactly how long it takes. I have no illusions about how little my G70 will be worth a year or two from now.

Yup. In a few years (timeframe unknown) when/if I go to upgrade (and it'll have to be an upgrade, not a side-grade), I don't expect to get anything for my Zenith 1200.

Kal

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Z-Photo



Joined: 07 Mar 2006
Posts: 2749
Location: Huntsville - Alabama

Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 6:59 pm    Post subject:

But you can re-use all the hushbox ventaliation for a smoke room
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Person99



Joined: 09 Mar 2006
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Location: Flower Mound, TX

Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 7:01 pm    Post subject:

ecrabb wrote:


There will be a point - and I think we're just 2-3 years away - when there will be really, really good, new digital projectors selling for under $2000 that surpass CRT in every way, save for absolute black and repairability.


Maybe. Digital PJs are getting fairly mature now. As such, the falling cost/increasing performance curve is going to start getting a bit flatter. Think about through the 80s and 90s a top of the line TV always cost about the same--it was the price the market would bear. It just got a little better, a little bigger screen, a few more bells and whistles. I think we are at that point with PJs. The market will bear $5000+ for a truly top of the line projector and $2000 for a "decent" projector.

Now, if your point was that in 2-3 years a "decent" projector will meet the conditions you specified--probably. But I have no doubt a top of the line projector will excede a CRT in everyone save for repair cost. (I don't like "repairability" because they are just as repairable, they just need a complete module vs. 1 capacitor, for instance. It is the cost of the repair that is the issue.)

Also, I have to disagree about the absolute black. The absolute black of a properly set up CRT (no crushing) without gamma mods at best matches the absolute black level of an RS2 (and is actually worse on some PJs). Even with gamma mods, an RS2 and a CRT are "in the same class" as far as black levels and on/off CR and the RS2 exceeds the CRT in every on PQ parameter.

Further, between better dynamic irises or (even better) better light sources (both of which may be less than 3 years off), I'm betting that digitals will exceed a properly set up gamma modified CRT within 3 year.

Heck, many already believe that on balance, the price/performance ratio of digitals is about the same as CRTs. Take Art at the upper end. He sacrificed absolute black level and on/off CR for better ANSI CR, brighter picture, sharper picture, CIH set up, etc. On the low end, I've effectively done the same. Personally, I think right now is the "point of equilibrium". The price/performance is so close to equal, you pick your poison.


ecrabb wrote:
takes all of half an hour to hang on the ceiling.


Mine took longer than that! But the anamorphic lens does add a bunch of time to the install (pretty much quadrupling it).

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ecrabb
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Joined: 13 Mar 2006
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Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 7:36 pm    Post subject:

Yes, Dave - I meant decent. Take the current handful of 1080p digitals for around $2000-2500. I realize that it won't be as if you'll be able to buy that level of projector a few years from now for $500 new. But, at the same price point of $2000, the projectors two years from now will likely have slightly better blacks, slightly more contrast, slightly better colorimetry, a better scaler, etc. In effect, a better projector for the same money. Yes, they're getting pretty mature, and yes, the improvements will be incremental, but they will be improvements nonetheless. Just like computers, actually. Same money, more doodads, faster processor, etc.

As for absolute black, I wasn't really comparing high-end to high-end. Since most of us here won't be buying a $6000 projector anytime soon, I'm assuming that by far, most of us would be looking at the $2000-3000 price point when it comes to time to make the jump. At that point, I don't think the blacks are quite as good as say, my G70... But, you're right - "pick your poison" is exactly the point we're at right now.

OK, so it took you almost as long to hang your projector and lens as I spent hanging the G70. Still, you didn't need any 1/2-inch ratchets, winches or multiple guys lifting it off the floor. Wink

SC
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Person99



Joined: 09 Mar 2006
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Posted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 9:22 pm    Post subject:

ecrabb wrote:

OK, so it took you almost as long to hang your projector and lens as I spent hanging the G70. Still, you didn't need any 1/2-inch ratchets, winches or multiple guys lifting it off the floor. Wink

SC


True. But I still say the difficulty of hanging a CRT is exaggerated. I could put mine up and take it down with just my wife and I. Couple block and tackles and no problem.

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WTS



Joined: 08 Mar 2006
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Location: Calgary

Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 3:57 am    Post subject:

I think that when they can finally change the light source from the hi temp heat sources they use now that it will probably increase the life span of the whole PJ. When that takes place I'll start looking into a digital.
At the moment I'm not interested in buying something that contains a light source that can die at a flick of a switch and cost hundreds to replace not to mention the damage what the excessive heat does to the electronics in these ovens I mean PJs.

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Angus_rg



Joined: 16 Dec 2007
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Location: A planet far, far away..... Baltimore, MD

Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 6:30 am    Post subject:

ecrabb wrote:
I have to agree with you, Dave. The record comparison just isn't a good one. Why? Because cost isn't even the major issue. Turntables and CRT's can both be had relatively inexpensively, and the CRT's will continue to get cheaper.


Actually, it seems like pretty good comparison if you think about it. A good needle will often cost significantly more than a record player, just like a new set of tubes when compared to a relative projector.

And when cd players were first released, audiophiles swore up and down the continuous analog signal was much better than a digital signal since it was just 0's and ones that didn't produce a continuous line but a nice DAC can probably do a better job now.

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km987654



Joined: 25 Jul 2007
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Location: Australia

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Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 7:07 am    Post subject:

There is no doubt that the crt market is getting smaller but its not dead and I believe history shows the really good (superseded) technology always has a place. AS mentioned records are still here despite CDs being around for almost 30 years. Valves are still here after almost 50 years of transistors. There are people who still use film SLR cameras even though the digital counterpart is cheaper.

Every technology has its benefits and as long as those benefits are meaningful to people they will continue to use the technology. In the case of CRT and digital projectors digitals will never produce the same image as a CRT they cannot because they are a completely different technology. That does not mean to say that digitals cannot produce a great picture but there will be aspects of imaging that a digital will do differently because of the nature of the technology. Its simply a question of what you are looking for.
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SisterOfMercy



Joined: 31 Oct 2007
Posts: 155
Location: Zwart Nazareth, The Netherlands

Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 12:43 pm    Post subject:

The fun in a decent record player (say a Scheu Premier) is that the software is so cheap (most of it). You can pick up a record for 50 eurocent (2,5 us dollar) and when it's good you do not have to buy the CD to get a reasonable sound quality.

And CRT is more fun than digital. To me the size and weight does not seem like a disadvantage. I like having a CRT in my living room. A digital is often easy enough for technology nitwits, setting one up does not give the satisfaction the way a CRT does.

I also do not have to write off my CRT in two to three years. Most digitals are consumer stuff, after three years they are not worth fixing. And I don't think the JVCs last two years Wink

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Person99



Joined: 09 Mar 2006
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Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 2:58 pm    Post subject:

Angus_rg wrote:
ecrabb wrote:
I have to agree with you, Dave. The record comparison just isn't a good one. Why? Because cost isn't even the major issue. Turntables and CRT's can both be had relatively inexpensively, and the CRT's will continue to get cheaper.


Actually, it seems like pretty good comparison if you think about it. A good needle will often cost significantly more than a record player, just like a new set of tubes when compared to a relative projector.

And when cd players were first released, audiophiles swore up and down the continuous analog signal was much better than a digital signal since it was just 0's and ones that didn't produce a continuous line but a nice DAC can probably do a better job now.


Wow, you got me thinking. This is a GREAT point and you may be right.

A digital recording is actually a more accurate representation of the source than vinyl--it is far closer to actually being there. However, for nostalgic or other reasons, a small group of people prefer the "coloring" of the source material that occurs with a vinyl presentation. So, although vinyl is technically an inferior presentation, it is loved by few (I think mostly for non-musical reasons). You may be right that CRT will fill an extremely small niche like this.

As the digital projectors both in home and commercial cinemas handly surpass CRT and film and there are few film-based commercial theaters left, a small group will not care that all the current technology is better--they will want the inferior presentation claiming it is more "film-like" and the "way it should look" all the while feeling smug and self righteous--hey, you are right, it will be EXACTLY like vinyl is today! Wink

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Person99



Joined: 09 Mar 2006
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Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 3:47 pm    Post subject:

SisterOfMercy wrote:

And CRT is more fun than digital. To me the size and weight does not seem like a disadvantage. I like having a CRT in my living room. A digital is often easy enough for technology nitwits, setting one up does not give the satisfaction the way a CRT does.


I'm not so sure of this having done CRT for years and then digital. The CRT is "fun" in a sense of self satisfaction when it looks good. But, at the end of the day, most of us want to spend the time watching movies, not dinking with projectors.

The digital "fun" is in things like CIH and such. So, there is still fun. And there is certainly fun in the viewing of scope on a CIH set up..

Clarence has a phrase that I can't rember which is pretty good that the basic gist is "Only a minority of users can get 90% of a CRTs potential out of it whereas a majority of users can get 90% of the performance out of a digital". Even this, there is work to get all the performance out of a digital. Most don't ship with great colors or grayscale. That has to be fixed. The digital I'm currenly using slightly crushes black and I have to correct that via the Lumagen 11 point gamma adjustment--don't kid yourself and think most digital users even understand what an 11 point gamma adjustment is! So, there is still extra performance you can get out of a digital if you are saavy.

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Curt Palme
CRT Tech


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Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 3:52 pm    Post subject:

To each their own. I'm not drinking from Dave's Koolaid, I have plenty of CRThampagne here...
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Person99



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Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 4:42 pm    Post subject:

Curt Palme wrote:
I'm not drinking from Dave's Koolaid


Are you sure? It's cherry. Wink

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jkruger



Joined: 24 Oct 2007
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Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 4:56 pm    Post subject:

You guys remember the Heavens Gate cult? That happened about two miles from away me. Purple shrouds and Nike sneakers...
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Person99



Joined: 09 Mar 2006
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Posted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 5:12 pm    Post subject:

jkruger wrote:
You guys remember the Heavens Gate cult? That happened about two miles from away me. Purple shrouds and Nike sneakers...


Were they using CRTs or Digitals?

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